Archive for September, 2010

I’ve finally gotten around to reading Nassim Nicholas Taleb‘s The Black Swan.  I’m about halfway through and I’m enjoying it very much.

It’s part math, part economics, part philosophy, and part quirky anecdotes.

I’m not sure what the rest of the book will be like and in the spirit of the book itself I am OK with that!

What it has made me think about so far is mainly that the real issue is not predicting the future because human beings are notoriously and demonstrably bad at predicting the future.

Rather, I think that our energies are better spent trying to develop plans and methods for continuity and adaptability in the face of the inherent and disruptive unpredictable nature of future events.


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